Volkswagen Golf, do you have the days counted?

In the seconds it took you to read the beginning of this article, a volkswagen golf: They say that every 41 seconds we sell one. It is therefore not surprising that in a normal situation, 780,000 units are registered. We are talking about the most successful model of volkswagen, which has become the most popular in many markets and where it is not, it occupies the highest positions on the charts. All this does not seem sufficient to ensure its continuity: the Volkswagen Golf seems to have its days numbered.

Thomas Schäfer, CEO of Volkswagen since last April, gave an interview to the German newspaper Papule and revealed that they have not yet made a decision on the development of the ninth generation. He admitted they were working on a facelift for the current Volkswagen Golf, but said the fate of the popular model will be decided within the next twelve months.

“We’ll have to see if it’s worth it.”

And his words weren’t too optimistic for the pact: “We’ll have to see if it’s worth developing a new vehicle that won’t last seven or eight years.” A process which, in his own words, would be “extremely expensive”. Statements that contrast with the announcement that Volkswagen made in March 2021 when it confirmed the arrival of new generations for the Golf (also for T-Roc, Tiguan and Passat) before the brand was completely electric.

Thomas Schäfer explained that “we will have to see if it is worth it” in reference to what a car will cost with the arrival of the new Euro 7 emissions regulations. According to his calculations, prices should increase between 3,000 and 5,000 euros because they will need more sophisticated systems to obtain this approval: “With a small vehicle, it is difficult to compensate for these additional costs. Therefore, entry-level mobility with combustion engines will be significantly more expensive.”

She also adds that in Europe, the end of models around 10,000 euros is near because the compliance of combustion engines with increasingly strict legislation, also in terms of emissions, will increase development costs.

Until 2027 or 2028?

The current generation (MK8) of the Volkswagen Golf was introduced in 2019 and is based on the latest version of the MQB modular platform. This means that if this brand-confirmed facelift comes in 2023 or 2024, the life cycle of the German pact could extend until 2027 or 2028. A few years before the date chosen by the European Union (2030) for only electric cars to be sold on the Old Continent.

Then, battery-powered vehicles should be significantly cheaper Nowadays. This could render alternatives powered by combustion engines obsolete.

The Volkswagen ID.2 and ID.3

The CEO of Volkswagen believes that the solution to all cost and compliance problems lies in electric vehicles. Unsurprisingly, the brand is already working on four of these models which, in his words, will be truly affordable. With 2025 as the key date, the launch of the Volkswagen ID.2 is expected with a range of 350-400 kilometers and a price of less than 25,000 euros: a figure that will bring it closer to what a Volkswagen Golf is with the usual specifications. . worth.

With the presence of the Volkswagen ID.2 and the Volkswagen ID.3, the Wolfsburg brand could practically be forced to abandon the Volkswagen Golf since it would have two indirect replacements for him. Both would, in principle, be cheaper (in development, production and sale) and would comply with all future European regulations.

If Volkswagen decides to withdraw the Volkswagen Golf, we will witness the end of an era which began in 1974 to write the history of the best-selling compact in the world (35 million units in 2019 when it turned 45). The Germans have shown that they don’t shake hands when making these decisions, the Volkswagen Beetle being a good example, but it’s (very) hard to imagine an automotive world without such an iconic model as the Volkswagen Golf.

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